Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.4, Luck Meter +65, Plus/minus +18.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 8G 7A, 45 SOG · Hertl 6G 7A, 39 SOG
Boldy's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Boldy's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2024-25)
Boldy blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
5:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–7
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.5
- 48.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | MIN 4–2 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-29 | MIN 5–2 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3–2 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | MIN 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-29 · PO | MIN 2–3 VGK | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | MIN 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | MIN 5–2 VGK | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-22 · PO | MIN 5–2 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-20 · PO | MIN 2–4 VGK | 2G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-01-12 | MIN 1–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-15 | MIN 2–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-12 | MIN 2–7 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LW
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to C
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and Hertl done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 7–8. Boldy had 15 points (8 goals) and Hertl had 13 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Boldy or Hertl?
- Against each other, Boldy has won 2 and Hertl 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →