Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Boldy for 2.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Goals above expected +8.4, Ascension score 52.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone start % 53.7%, Forecheck xG /60 0.21.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 6G 10A, 47 SOG · Toffoli 7G 4A, 43 SOG
Boldy blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 1 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
21:56 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 33–13
- 71.7%
- Expected goals
- 2.1–0.4
- 83.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | MIN 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1–2 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5–6 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8–7 SJS | 0G 4A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-11 | MIN 3–1 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-07 | MIN 5–2 SJS | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-06 | MIN 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | MIN 3–5 NJD | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-07 | MIN 0–1 CGY | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-04 | MIN 3–0 CGY | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-07 | MIN 3–5 CGY | 0G 0A 4S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-28 | MIN 3–2 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS2.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 6–9. Boldy had 16 points (6 goals) and Toffoli had 11 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →