Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Roy vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Roy projects to 1.54 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Roy has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Kelly has 1 left. We project Roy for 2.9 ESPN points to Kelly's 1.2.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Roy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ice time per game 20:37, Ice-time share 34.0%.
Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.2, Luck Meter +78, Sequence xG 57.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Roy
1.54
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Roy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Roy | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.05 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.02 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Roy vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Roy 1G 3A, 9 SOG · Kelly 2G 2A, 7 SOG
On the ice against each other (Roy's side)
8:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–13
- 13.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 3.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Roy | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | WSH 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-01-19 | WSH 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-21 | WSH 1–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-15 | WSH 5–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-07 | LAK 4–3 OTT | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-02 | LAK 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-06 | LAK 5–2 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-27 | LAK 2–3 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-11 | LAK 2–0 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Roy
2games
2.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.7 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.2 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Roy or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Roy projects to 1.54 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Roy or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Roy and Kelly done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 5–4. Roy had 4 points (1 goals) and Kelly had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →