Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Roy vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.
Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Roy has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Roy's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, On-ice PDO 1008.
Hertl's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Penalty minutes 39, Offensive-zone start % 61.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Roy
1.54
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Roy | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.05 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.02 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Roy vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Roy 2G 3A, 24 SOG · Hertl 8G 8A, 48 SOG
Roy blocked 3 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Roy's.
On the ice against each other (Roy's side)
5:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–4
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 28.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Roy | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WSH 5–4 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-02-27 | WSH 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-17 | WSH 5–2 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-12-27 | LAK 5–1 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-19 | LAK 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-11 | LAK 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-17 | LAK 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-25 | LAK 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-12 | LAK 0–5 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-10 | LAK 3–4 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-01-17 | LAK 2–6 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 4A 0S |
| 2021-04-02 | LAK 0–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 6S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Roy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 10th-fewest FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Roy or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Roy or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Roy and Hertl done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 10–7. Roy had 5 points (2 goals) and Hertl had 16 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →