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Who to start · 2025-26

Matthew Knies vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Ascension score 56, 20+ mph bursts 97.

Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Fenwick 55.3%, Expected goals 57.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKniesMarner
Goals (+2)0.800.52
Assists (+1)0.570.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.180.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Knies vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KniesMarner
0Team record in 2 meetings2
4Points in those games2

Knies 0G 4A, 4 SOG · Marner 0G 2A, 4 SOG

1Hits on each other0
15Shots blocked by the other0

Knies blocked 15 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Knies's.

27Goals set up by the other8

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Knies's side)

15:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side

Shot attempts
18–10
64.3%
Expected goals
1.1–0.4
75.4%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Matthew Knies and Mitch Marner
DateScoreKniesMarner
2026-01-23TOR 3–6 VGK0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-15TOR 5–6 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 2A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KniesMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Matthew Knies or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matthew Knies or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Knies and Marner done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 0–2. Knies had 4 points (0 goals) and Marner had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →