Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.
Matthew Knies has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Luck Meter +37, Ascension score 56.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Sequence xG 52.5%, Expected goals 52.5%, Faceoffs won 98.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 1G 0A, 8 SOG · Buchnevich 2G 3A, 7 SOG
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
5:25 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–8
- 11.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.6
- 0.2%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | TOR 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-02 | TOR 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-24 | TOR 1–5 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-02-19 | TOR 4–2 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-13 | TOR 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Knies leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Knies and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 2–3. Knies had 1 points (1 goals) and Buchnevich had 5 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →