Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Knies vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Knies for 1.4 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Luck Meter +37, On-ice PDO 1004.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.8%, Faceoffs won 172, Expected goals 51.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Knies
1.80
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Knies | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Knies vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Knies 3G 3A, 10 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 0G 3A, 8 SOG
On the ice against each other (Knies's side)
12:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Knies's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–15
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 55.5%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Knies | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | TOR 5–2 EDM | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-13 | TOR 3–6 EDM | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-01 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-16 | TOR 4–3 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-23 | TOR 6–3 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | TOR 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Knies or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Knies or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Knies and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Knies's team went 4–2. Knies had 6 points (3 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 3 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →