Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Schaefer vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.
Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Schaefer has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.1.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Schaefer's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Goals above expected +3.8, Faceoffs won 0.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Corsi 60.4%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Schaefer
2.11
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schaefer | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Schaefer 1G 1A, 4 SOG · Jarvis 2G 1A, 8 SOG
Schaefer blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Schaefer's.
On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)
10:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–16
- 15.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.2
- 25.7%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schaefer | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | NYI 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 6S |
| 2025-10-30 | NYI 2–6 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Schaefer
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.1 pts
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Schaefer and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 2 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 0–2. Schaefer had 2 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →