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Who to start · 2025-26

Matthew Schaefer vs Thomas Harley

Matthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferIslanders · DefencevsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.

Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Schaefer has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Schaefer for 2.4 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.

Matthew Schaefer has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schaefer's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.8, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.59, Hardest shot 93.9.

Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Blocked shots 148, High-danger chances 51.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matthew Schaefer

2.02

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Schaefer has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchaeferHarley
Goals (+2)0.530.16
Assists (+1)0.410.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Harley

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchaeferHarley
1Team record in 1 meetings0
2Points in those games1

Schaefer 0G 2A, 3 SOG · Harley 0G 1A, 0 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Schaefer blocked 0 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 1 of Schaefer's.

On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)

9:35 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side

Shot attempts
13–8
61.9%
Expected goals
1.5–0.5
76.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Matthew Schaefer and Thomas Harley
DateScoreSchaeferHarley
2026-03-26NYI 2–1 DAL0G 2A 3S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchaeferHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matthew Schaefer

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Schaefer projects to 2.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matthew Schaefer leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schaefer and Harley done against each other?
In 1 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 1–0. Schaefer had 2 points (0 goals) and Harley had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →