Who to start · 2025-26
Matthew Schaefer vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02.
Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Schaefer has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Schaefer's 2.1.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Schaefer's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.59, Faceoffs won 0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.058.
Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Hits 179, High-danger chances 56.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matthew Schaefer
2.02
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Schaefer | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Schaefer vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Schaefer 1G 1A, 12 SOG · Wilson 3G 3A, 7 SOG
Schaefer blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 2 of Schaefer's.
On the ice against each other (Schaefer's side)
22:54 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schaefer's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–26
- 44.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.6
- 26.2%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Schaefer | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NYI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-30 | NYI 1–4 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-31 | NYI 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | NYI 2–4 WSH | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matthew Schaefer
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD2.1 pts
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matthew Schaefer or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matthew Schaefer's 2.02. Schaefer had 59 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matthew Schaefer or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Schaefer and Wilson done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Schaefer's team went 1–3. Schaefer had 2 points (1 goals) and Wilson had 6 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →