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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Ekholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ekholm for 1.1 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Plus/minus +32, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, Fenwick 56.1%.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Power-play share 86.6%, Power-play time per game 3:30.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Ekholm

1.59

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEkholmNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.150.56
Assists (+1)0.430.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EkholmNugent-Hopkins
5Team record in 14 meetings9
6Points in those games16

Ekholm 2G 4A, 24 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 3G 13A, 39 SOG

0Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other2

Ekholm blocked 3 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 2 of Ekholm's.

3Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

441:09 at 5-on-5 over 78 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
450–426
51.4%
Expected goals
24.6–20.5
54.5%
Goals
23–25

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Ekholm and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreEkholmNugent-Hopkins
2022-12-19NSH 4–3 EDM1G 0A 5S2G 0A 5S
2022-12-13NSH 3–6 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-01NSH 4–7 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2022-04-14NSH 0–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2022-01-27NSH 2–3 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-03NSH 2–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2020-03-02NSH 3–8 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 1S
2020-02-08NSH 2–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2020-01-14NSH 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2019-02-25NSH 3–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2018-10-27NSH 3–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2018-10-20NSH 3–0 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EkholmNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ekholm and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 5–9. Ekholm had 6 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 16 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →