Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Ekholm vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.
Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.
Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ekholm's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Fenwick 56.1%, Corsi 56.0%.
Harley's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Power-play share 37.4%, 20+ mph bursts 50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Ekholm
1.43
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ekholm | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ekholm 1G 5A, 28 SOG · Harley 1G 8A, 22 SOG
Ekholm blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 3 of Ekholm's.
On the ice against each other (Ekholm's side)
13:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ekholm's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–7
- 58.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.4
- 64.4%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ekholm | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | EDM 2–7 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-04 | EDM 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-29 · PO | EDM 6–3 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-03-26 | EDM 3–4 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-10-19 | EDM 1–4 DAL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-06-02 · PO | EDM 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-31 · PO | EDM 3–1 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-05-29 · PO | EDM 5–2 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-05-27 · PO | EDM 3–5 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-25 · PO | EDM 1–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-23 · PO | EDM 3–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-03 | EDM 0–5 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Ekholm
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ekholm and Harley done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 9–8. Ekholm had 6 points (1 goals) and Harley had 9 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →