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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Noah Dobson

Mattias SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonSabres · DefencevsNoah DobsonNoah DobsonCanadiens · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 50.7%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.067, Hits 132.

Dobson's biggest edges: Power-play share 33.3%, Power-play time per game 1:30, Offensive-zone time 41.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonDobson
Goals (+2)0.440.28
Assists (+1)0.340.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.931.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Mattias Samuelsson and Noah Dobson have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonDobson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →