Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, On-ice PDO 1036, Ascension score 48.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Power-play share 32.0%, Offensive-zone start % 53.0%, Offensive-zone time 42.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.440.28
Assists (+1)0.340.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.13
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonGavrikov
3Team record in 7 meetings4
2Points in those games3

Samuelsson 1G 1A, 8 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 3A, 11 SOG

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

22:11 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
16–20
44.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
61.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreSamuelssonGavrikov
2026-04-08BUF 5–3 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08BUF 5–2 NYR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-09BUF 0–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-10BUF 1–3 LAK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-07BUF 9–4 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-20BUF 3–7 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-10BUF 3–4 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 3–4. Samuelsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Gavrikov had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →