Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matty Beniers vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matty Beniers projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Beniers had 50 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Beniers has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Beniers for 3.8 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Matty Beniers has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Beniers's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.38, Draw Equity /100 −0.012, 20+ mph bursts 130.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Sequence xG 52.5%, Expected goals 52.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Beniers leads Buchnevich 7–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matty Beniers

1.73

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matty Beniers has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBeniersBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.580.46
Assists (+1)0.410.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.460.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Beniers vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BeniersBuchnevich
4Team record in 11 meetings7
1Points in those games9

Beniers 0G 1A, 15 SOG · Buchnevich 4G 5A, 13 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other6

Beniers's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 2–4 · Beniers's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Beniers blocked 0 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Beniers's.

On the ice against each other (Beniers's side)

21:46 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Beniers's side

Shot attempts
25–14
64.1%
Expected goals
0.8–1.0
44.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Matty Beniers and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreBeniersBuchnevich
2026-03-04SEA 2–3 STL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2026-02-26SEA 1–5 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-08SEA 4–3 STL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-12SEA 4–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-25SEA 2–7 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-08SEA 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-14SEA 1–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-26SEA 3–4 STL0G 0A 0S2G 1A 2S
2023-10-14SEA 1–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-28SEA 5–3 STL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-12-20SEA 5–2 STL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BeniersBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matty Beniers

3games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Matty Beniers or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matty Beniers projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Beniers had 50 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matty Beniers or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matty Beniers leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Beniers and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Beniers's team went 4–7. Beniers had 1 points (0 goals) and Buchnevich had 9 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Beniers or Buchnevich?
Against each other, Beniers has won 7 and Buchnevich 6 of their 13 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →