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Who to start · 2025-26

Mike Matheson vs Steven Stamkos

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.

Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.

This week Matheson has 1 game left; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Matheson for 1.6 ESPN points to Stamkos's 1.6.

Steven Stamkos has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matheson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +9, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Shorthanded points 2.

Stamkos's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, High-danger chances 53.8%, Scoring chances 52.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Steven Stamkos

2.00

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMathesonStamkos
Goals (+2)0.170.96
Assists (+1)0.420.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.24
Hits (+0.1)0.070.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.960.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matheson vs Stamkos

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MathesonStamkos
7Team record in 24 meetings17
7Points in those games33

Matheson 1G 6A, 44 SOG · Stamkos 11G 22A, 67 SOG

2Hits on each other2
6Shots blocked by the other4

Matheson blocked 6 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 4 of Matheson's.

On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)

11:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side

Shot attempts
7–7
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
18.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mike Matheson and Steven Stamkos
DateScoreMathesonStamkos
2026-03-28MTL 4–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-16MTL 3–2 NSH0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-06MTL 2–1 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-05MTL 3–0 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-04MTL 4–7 TBL0G 1A 4S2G 1A 3S
2024-03-02MTL 3–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2023-12-31MTL 3–4 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-07MTL 3–5 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 5S
2023-03-21MTL 3–2 TBL1G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-18MTL 3–5 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2022-12-17MTL 1–5 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S
2021-10-26PIT 1–5 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MathesonStamkos

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts

Steven Stamkos

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Mike Matheson or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mike Matheson or Steven Stamkos?
On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matheson and Stamkos done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 7–17. Matheson had 7 points (1 goals) and Stamkos had 33 (11 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →