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Who to start · 2025-26

Mike Matheson vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.

Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Matheson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Mike Matheson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matheson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +9, Top skating speed 22.8, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035.

Dunn's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Power-play share 67.1%, Offensive-zone start % 47.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMathesonDunn
Goals (+2)0.170.38
Assists (+1)0.420.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.960.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matheson vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MathesonDunn
7Team record in 11 meetings4
2Points in those games9

Matheson 0G 2A, 11 SOG · Dunn 3G 6A, 35 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Matheson blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Matheson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)

12:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side

Shot attempts
12–4
75.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
75.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mike Matheson and Vince Dunn
DateScoreMathesonDunn
2025-10-28MTL 4–3 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-14MTL 5–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-12MTL 4–5 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-04MTL 4–2 SEA0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S
2022-12-06MTL 4–2 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-27PIT 1–2 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2021-12-06PIT 6–1 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2020-03-09FLA 2–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-05FLA 2–3 STL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2018-12-11FLA 3–4 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2017-10-12FLA 5–2 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MathesonDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Mike Matheson or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mike Matheson or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mike Matheson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matheson and Dunn done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 7–4. Matheson had 2 points (0 goals) and Dunn had 9 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →