Who to start · 2025-26
Mike Matheson vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Matheson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.
Will Smith has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matheson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 150, Faceoffs won 0, Top skating speed 22.8.
Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Offensive-zone time 44.3%, Transition attempts /60 2.05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.94
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matheson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.96 | 0.08 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matheson vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matheson 0G 3A, 7 SOG · Smith 2G 2A, 5 SOG
Matheson blocked 2 of Smith's shots; Smith blocked 0 of Matheson's.
On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)
20:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–23
- 41.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–1.9
- 28.8%
- Goals
- 3–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matheson | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MTL 2–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-03 | MTL 5–7 SJS | 0G 3A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-27 | MTL 4–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-04 | MTL 4–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mike Matheson or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mike Matheson or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matheson and Smith done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 2–2. Matheson had 3 points (0 goals) and Smith had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →