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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikhail Sergachev vs Thomas Harley

Mikhail SergachevMikhail SergachevMammoth · DefencevsThomas HarleyThomas HarleyStars · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.

Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.

This week Sergachev has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Hardest shot 99.0, Goals above expected +1.0, Corsi 52.5%.

Harley's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, High-danger chances 51.0%, Offensive-zone start % 49.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSergachevHarley
Goals (+2)0.240.16
Assists (+1)0.650.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.16
Hits (+0.1)0.060.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.810.99

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Mikhail Sergachev and Thomas Harley have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SergachevHarley

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.4 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Thomas Harley?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →