Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Sequence xG 54.3%, Expected goals 54.4%.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Faceoffs won 601, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.

Head to head on the dot, Rantanen leads Frost 6–4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenFrost
Goals (+2)0.640.50
Assists (+1)0.810.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.17
Hits (+0.1)0.080.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenFrost
8Team record in 11 meetings3
12Points in those games6

Rantanen 7G 5A, 34 SOG · Frost 0G 6A, 26 SOG

6Faceoffs against each other4

Rantanen's offensive zone 6–1 · neutral 0–2 · Rantanen's defensive zone 0–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

4:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
2–6
25.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
34.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Morgan Frost
DateScoreRantanenFrost
2026-04-07DAL 4–3 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-22DAL 2–3 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2025-03-27DAL 5–2 CGY1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-02CAR 2–1 CGY0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-20COL 7–4 PHI2G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-09COL 2–5 PHI0G 0A 6S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-13COL 3–2 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-05COL 3–5 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-25COL 6–3 PHI1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-06COL 7–5 PHI0G 2A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-12-11COL 3–1 PHI2G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and Frost done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 8–3. Rantanen had 12 points (7 goals) and Frost had 6 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rantanen or Frost?
Against each other, Rantanen has won 6 and Frost 4 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →