Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Pavel Zacha

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zacha has 1 left. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Expected goals 54.4%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%, Sequence xG 54.3%.

Zacha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.4, Faceoffs won 524, Hardest shot 93.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Pavel Zacha

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenZacha
Goals (+2)0.640.68
Assists (+1)0.810.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.18
Hits (+0.1)0.080.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Zacha

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenZacha
6Team record in 14 meetings8
16Points in those games9

Rantanen 7G 9A, 30 SOG · Zacha 0G 9A, 20 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other3

Rantanen's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 0–0 · Rantanen's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Rantanen blocked 2 of Zacha's shots; Zacha blocked 0 of Rantanen's.

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

7:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
10–6
62.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
82.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Pavel Zacha
DateScoreRantanenZacha
2026-03-31DAL 3–6 BOS0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-06CAR 3–2 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2024-10-16COL 3–5 BOS1G 2A 4S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-18COL 2–5 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-08COL 4–3 BOS1G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2022-12-07COL 0–4 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-03COL 1–5 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-14COL 3–1 NJD0G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-08COL 3–5 NJD1G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2020-01-04COL 5–2 NJD3G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2019-12-13COL 3–1 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2018-10-18COL 5–3 NJD1G 3A 3S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenZacha

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Pavel Zacha

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Pavel Zacha in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Pavel Zacha?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and Zacha done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 6–8. Rantanen had 16 points (7 goals) and Zacha had 9 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rantanen or Zacha?
Against each other, Rantanen has won 0 and Zacha 3 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →