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Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Expected goals 54.4%, Sequence xG 54.3%, Plus/minus 0.

Dunn's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.34, Shots on goal 179.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenDunn
Goals (+2)0.640.38
Assists (+1)0.810.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.22
Hits (+0.1)0.080.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenDunn
21Team record in 37 meetings16
36Points in those games19

Rantanen 17G 19A, 110 SOG · Dunn 5G 14A, 65 SOG

3Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other6

Rantanen blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 6 of Rantanen's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

6:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
7–6
53.8%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
69.7%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Vince Dunn
DateScoreRantanenDunn
2025-11-26DAL 3–2 SEA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-09DAL 2–1 SEA0G 0A 6S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-31DAL 3–1 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-29DAL 5–1 SEA1G 2A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-22COL 5–2 SEA0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-13COL 5–1 SEA1G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-09COL 3–4 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-10-17COL 4–1 SEA1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-30 · POCOL 1–2 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-28 · POCOL 4–1 SEA1G 1A 6S1G 0A 3S
2023-04-26 · POCOL 2–3 SEA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-24 · POCOL 2–3 SEA2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 37 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and Dunn done against each other?
In 37 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 21–16. Rantanen had 36 points (17 goals) and Dunn had 19 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →