Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mitch Marner vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marner's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 150, Plus/minus +17, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.65, Hardest shot 93.3, Top skating speed 22.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarnerDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.520.86
Assists (+1)0.670.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.30
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.280.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marner vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarnerDorofeyev
1Team record in 2 meetings1
3Points in those games1

Marner 1G 2A, 4 SOG · Dorofeyev 0G 1A, 4 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Marner blocked 0 of Dorofeyev's shots; Dorofeyev blocked 1 of Marner's.

7Goals set up by the other17

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

622:36 at 5-on-5 over 68 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
642–508
55.8%
Expected goals
25.2–21.4
54.1%
Goals
25–19

Games against each other

Games between Mitch Marner and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreMarnerDorofeyev
2025-03-05TOR 2–5 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-20TOR 3–0 VGK0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarnerDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mitch Marner or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mitch Marner or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marner and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 1–1. Marner had 3 points (1 goals) and Dorofeyev had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →