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Who to start · 2025-26

Mitch Marner vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Plus/minus +17, Expected goals 57.0%.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.0, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Hits 50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarnerGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.520.28
Assists (+1)0.670.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.13
Hits (+0.1)0.030.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.280.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marner vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarnerGavrikov
7Team record in 11 meetings4
15Points in those games0

Marner 1G 14A, 22 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 0A, 15 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other1

Marner blocked 2 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 1 of Marner's.

On the ice against each other (Marner's side)

14:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side

Shot attempts
10–13
43.5%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
63.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Mitch Marner and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreMarnerGavrikov
2025-12-07VGK 3–2 NYR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-18VGK 3–2 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-29TOR 3–1 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-16TOR 6–2 LAK0G 3A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-02TOR 3–0 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-31TOR 1–4 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-11TOR 3–4 CBJ0G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-10TOR 3–0 CBJ0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-07TOR 5–4 CBJ1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-22TOR 3–4 CBJ0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-21TOR 3–4 CBJ0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarnerGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mitch Marner or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mitch Marner or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marner and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 7–4. Marner had 15 points (1 goals) and Gavrikov had 0 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →