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Who to start · 2025-26

Morgan Rielly vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Morgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · DefencevsVladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovRangers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week Rielly has 1 game left; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Vladislav Gavrikov has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.18.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, High-danger chances 56.6%, Scoring chances 53.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRiellyGavrikov
Goals (+2)0.250.28
Assists (+1)0.400.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.13
Hits (+0.1)0.050.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rielly vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RiellyGavrikov
8Team record in 13 meetings5
9Points in those games1

Rielly 2G 7A, 28 SOG · Gavrikov 1G 0A, 20 SOG

On the ice against each other (Rielly's side)

21:03 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Rielly's side

Shot attempts
24–19
55.8%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
47.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Morgan Rielly and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreRiellyGavrikov
2026-03-25TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-05TOR 2–6 NYR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-16TOR 2–1 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-29TOR 3–1 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-16TOR 6–2 LAK1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-02TOR 3–0 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-31TOR 1–4 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-11TOR 3–4 CBJ1G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-10TOR 3–0 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-07TOR 5–4 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-22TOR 3–4 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-07TOR 5–4 CBJ0G 4A 4S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RiellyGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Morgan Rielly or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Morgan Rielly or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vladislav Gavrikov leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rielly and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Rielly's team went 8–5. Rielly had 9 points (2 goals) and Gavrikov had 1 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →