Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nick Schmaltz vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Schmaltz projects to 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Schmaltz has 2 games left; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schmaltz for 3.8 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Nick Schmaltz has the better number in 34 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Schmaltz's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.2, Plus/minus +17, Goals above expected +4.2.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hits 30, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nick Schmaltz

2.05

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Schmaltz has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchmaltzBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.880.46
Assists (+1)0.470.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.16
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schmaltz vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchmaltzBuchnevich
11Team record in 21 meetings10
29Points in those games24

Schmaltz 10G 19A, 36 SOG · Buchnevich 10G 14A, 32 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Schmaltz's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Schmaltz's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)

On the ice against each other (Schmaltz's side)

17:43 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schmaltz's side

Shot attempts
9–15
37.5%
Expected goals
0.2–1.0
17.0%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Nick Schmaltz and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreSchmaltzBuchnevich
2026-04-16UTA 3–5 STL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-09UTA 4–2 STL2G 1A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-29UTA 0–1 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-23UTA 7–4 STL1G 2A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-15UTA 1–6 STL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 2S
2025-02-02UTA 1–2 STL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-18UTA 4–2 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-07UTA 4–2 STL0G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-02ARI 4–1 STL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-22ARI 5–6 STL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-09ARI 1–2 STL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-07ARI 6–2 STL1G 1A 2S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchmaltzBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nick Schmaltz

3games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.8 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Nick Schmaltz or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Schmaltz projects to 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nick Schmaltz or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Schmaltz leads in 34 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schmaltz and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Schmaltz's team went 11–10. Schmaltz had 29 points (10 goals) and Buchnevich had 24 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Schmaltz or Buchnevich?
Against each other, Schmaltz has won 0 and Buchnevich 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →