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Who to start · 2025-26

Nick Schmaltz vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05.

Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Schmaltz has 2 games left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schmaltz for 3.1 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.

Nick Schmaltz has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Schmaltz's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.3, Luck Meter +44, On-ice PDO 1007.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Hits 81, Transition attempts /60 1.50, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nick Schmaltz

2.04

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchmaltzJarvis
Goals (+2)0.800.90
Assists (+1)0.500.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.32
Hits (+0.1)0.030.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schmaltz vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchmaltzJarvis
1Team record in 8 meetings7
1Points in those games10

Schmaltz 1G 0A, 12 SOG · Jarvis 3G 7A, 23 SOG

On the ice against each other (Schmaltz's side)

12:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Schmaltz's side

Shot attempts
7–16
30.4%
Expected goals
0.3–0.8
28.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Nick Schmaltz and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreSchmaltzJarvis
2026-04-11UTA 1–4 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-29UTA 4–5 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-08UTA 3–7 CAR0G 0A 0S2G 2A 5S
2024-02-16ARI 1–5 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-01-27ARI 1–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 6S
2023-03-03ARI 1–6 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-23ARI 4–0 CAR1G 0A 6S0G 0A 5S
2022-04-18ARI 3–5 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchmaltzJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nick Schmaltz

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Nick Schmaltz or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nick Schmaltz's 2.05. Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nick Schmaltz or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Schmaltz leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schmaltz and Jarvis done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Schmaltz's team went 1–7. Schmaltz had 1 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 10 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →