Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nick Schmaltz vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Schmaltz projects to 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Schmaltz has 2 games left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Schmaltz for 3.1 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Nick Schmaltz has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Schmaltz's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.3, Plus/minus +17, Luck Meter +44.

Hertl's biggest edges: Hits 114, Faceoff win % 57.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.096.

Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Schmaltz 34–23.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nick Schmaltz

2.05

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Schmaltz has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchmaltzHertl
Goals (+2)0.880.63
Assists (+1)0.470.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schmaltz vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchmaltzHertl
15Team record in 34 meetings19
24Points in those games29

Schmaltz 10G 14A, 55 SOG · Hertl 15G 14A, 90 SOG

23Faceoffs against each other34

Schmaltz's offensive zone 9–14 · neutral 8–10 · Schmaltz's defensive zone 6–10 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Schmaltz blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 0 of Schmaltz's.

On the ice against each other (Schmaltz's side)

19:06 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Schmaltz's side

Shot attempts
19–13
59.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
49.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nick Schmaltz and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreSchmaltzHertl
2026-05-01 · POUTA 1–5 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-29 · POUTA 4–5 VGK0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S
2026-04-27 · POUTA 4–5 VGK1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-24 · POUTA 4–2 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-21 · POUTA 3–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-19 · POUTA 2–4 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2026-03-19UTA 4–0 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-24UTA 5–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-20UTA 1–4 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 6S
2024-11-30UTA 6–0 VGK2G 0A 5S0G 0A 5S
2024-11-15UTA 2–4 VGK0G 0A 2S2G 0A 3S
2024-11-02UTA 3–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 34 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchmaltzHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nick Schmaltz

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.7 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Nick Schmaltz or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Schmaltz projects to 2.05 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Schmaltz had 74 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nick Schmaltz or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Schmaltz leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schmaltz and Hertl done against each other?
In 34 games against each other in our data, Schmaltz's team went 15–19. Schmaltz had 24 points (10 goals) and Hertl had 29 (15 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Schmaltz or Hertl?
Against each other, Schmaltz has won 23 and Hertl 34 of their 57 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →