Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nikolaj Ehlers vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Nikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersHurricanes · Left wingvsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Ehlers has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.44, 20+ mph bursts 182, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 995, Penalty minutes 24, High-danger chances 59.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEhlersDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.560.86
Assists (+1)0.480.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.30
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EhlersDorofeyev
5Team record in 12 meetings7
12Points in those games9

Ehlers 4G 8A, 26 SOG · Dorofeyev 6G 3A, 37 SOG

On the ice against each other (Ehlers's side)

35:37 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Ehlers's side

Shot attempts
40–46
46.5%
Expected goals
2.2–2.3
48.8%
Goals
3–3

Games against each other

Games between Nikolaj Ehlers and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreEhlersDorofeyev
2026-06-14 · POCAR 3–0 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 6S
2026-06-11 · POCAR 4–2 VGK0G 3A 0S2G 0A 3S
2026-06-09 · POCAR 5–3 VGK1G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-06-06 · POCAR 4–5 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-06-04 · POCAR 4–3 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2026-06-02 · POCAR 4–5 VGK2G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-28CAR 3–6 VGK0G 0A 0S2G 0A 9S
2025-10-20CAR 1–4 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-04-03WPG 4–0 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29WPG 3–4 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 2A 3S
2024-03-28WPG 1–4 VGK0G 1A 5S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-02WPG 2–5 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EhlersDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ehlers and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 5–7. Ehlers had 12 points (4 goals) and Dorofeyev had 9 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →