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Who to start · 2025-26

Nikolaj Ehlers vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Ehlers has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rakell has 1 left. We project Rakell for 2.0 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.78, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Expected goals 56.5%.

Rakell's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Hits 71, Blocked shots 43.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rickard Rakell has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEhlersRakell
Goals (+2)0.560.75
Assists (+1)0.480.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EhlersRakell
14Team record in 19 meetings5
23Points in those games7

Ehlers 11G 12A, 58 SOG · Rakell 1G 6A, 41 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Ehlers blocked 1 of Rakell's shots; Rakell blocked 0 of Ehlers's.

On the ice against each other (Ehlers's side)

16:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ehlers's side

Shot attempts
14–14
50.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.3
55.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nikolaj Ehlers and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreEhlersRakell
2026-03-22CAR 5–1 PIT1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-18CAR 6–5 PIT0G 3A 1S0G 2A 1S
2026-03-10CAR 5–4 PIT0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-30CAR 1–5 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-22WPG 4–1 PIT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-20WPG 6–3 PIT0G 2A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-10WPG 2–1 PIT0G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-06WPG 0–3 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-13WPG 4–1 PIT1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2021-10-26WPG 4–3 ANA2G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2021-10-21WPG 5–1 ANA0G 0A 6S0G 0A 9S
2021-10-13WPG 1–4 ANA0G 0A 8S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EhlersRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ehlers and Rakell done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 14–5. Ehlers had 23 points (11 goals) and Rakell had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →