Who to start · 2025-26
Nikolaj Ehlers vs Robert Thomas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.
This week Ehlers has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project Thomas for 1.9 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.6, Transition attempts /60 1.78, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.44.
Thomas's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Faceoffs won 547, Luck Meter +53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Robert Thomas
1.89
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ehlers | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Thomas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ehlers 2G 6A, 52 SOG · Thomas 5G 10A, 39 SOG
Ehlers blocked 0 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 1 of Ehlers's.
On the ice against each other (Ehlers's side)
5:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Ehlers's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–5
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 36.6%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ehlers | Thomas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CAR 1–3 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-05-04 · PO | WPG 4–3 STL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-02 · PO | WPG 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-22 | WPG 4–3 STL | 1G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-22 | WPG 3–2 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-02-27 | WPG 4–2 STL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-11-07 | WPG 5–2 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-24 | WPG 4–2 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-19 | WPG 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-09 | WPG 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-02-06 | WPG 4–2 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-02-01 | WPG 5–2 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Robert Thomas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ehlers and Thomas done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 12–11. Ehlers had 8 points (2 goals) and Thomas had 15 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →