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Who to start · 2025-26

Nikolaj Ehlers vs Trevor Zegras

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Ehlers has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.7.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.6, Ascension score 52, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.44.

Zegras's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, On-ice PDO 1016, Faceoffs won 131.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEhlersZegras
Goals (+2)0.560.57
Assists (+1)0.480.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EhlersZegras
11Team record in 13 meetings2
10Points in those games10

Ehlers 7G 3A, 47 SOG · Zegras 5G 5A, 29 SOG

On the ice against each other (Ehlers's side)

36:13 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Ehlers's side

Shot attempts
36–29
55.4%
Expected goals
1.6–1.7
49.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nikolaj Ehlers and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreEhlersZegras
2026-05-09 · POCAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2026-05-07 · POCAR 4–1 PHI1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2026-05-04 · POCAR 3–2 PHI1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-05-02 · POCAR 3–0 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-13CAR 2–3 PHI1G 1A 6S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-14CAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-12-13CAR 4–3 PHI1G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2025-10-11CAR 4–3 PHI0G 0A 6S0G 1A 3S
2024-01-05WPG 3–1 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-23WPG 3–2 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-26WPG 4–3 ANA2G 1A 3S1G 1A 4S
2021-10-21WPG 5–1 ANA0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EhlersZegras

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ehlers and Zegras done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 11–2. Ehlers had 10 points (7 goals) and Zegras had 10 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →