Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Cates vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.
Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Cates has 1 game left; Dunn has 2 left. We project Dunn for 3.2 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.
Noah Cates has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Expected goals 53.9%, Sequence xG 53.6%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Hardest shot 94.2, Offensive-zone time 43.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Cates
1.33
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.
| Points per game from | Cates | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Cates vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cates 1G 2A, 9 SOG · Dunn 0G 3A, 12 SOG
On the ice against each other (Cates's side)
8:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cates's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–7
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 56.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cates | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | PHI 1–4 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-20 | PHI 5–2 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-08 | PHI 1–4 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-02-10 | PHI 3–2 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-02-16 | PHI 2–6 SEA | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-12 | PHI 3–4 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Noah Cates
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.6 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Cates or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Cates had 47 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Cates or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cates and Dunn done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Cates's team went 2–4. Cates had 3 points (1 goals) and Dunn had 3 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →