Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Dobson vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Noah Dobson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dobson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.5, Transition attempts /60 0.60, 20+ mph bursts 65.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Scoring chances 50.7%, High-danger chances 50.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dobson | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.16 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dobson vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dobson 1G 8A, 45 SOG · Buchnevich 7G 3A, 38 SOG
Dobson blocked 1 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 1 of Dobson's.
On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)
17:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–14
- 44.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–1.0
- 14.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dobson | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | MTL 0–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-07 | MTL 3–4 STL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3–1 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-10-17 | NYI 0–1 STL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4–2 STL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-22 | NYI 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2022-11-03 | NYI 5–2 STL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-09 | NYI 1–6 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-05 | NYI 2–1 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-01 | NYI 3–0 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-29 | NYI 4–0 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-20 | NYI 6–1 NYR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Dobson or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Dobson or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dobson and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 11–9. Dobson had 9 points (1 goals) and Buchnevich had 10 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →