Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Dobson vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17.
Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Dobson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Blocked shots 188, Faceoffs won 0.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Scoring chances 55.6%, Corsi 60.4%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Dobson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dobson | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.18 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dobson vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dobson 1G 10A, 64 SOG · Jarvis 12G 12A, 79 SOG
Dobson blocked 4 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 4 of Dobson's.
On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)
37:49 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side
- Shot attempts
- 42–41
- 50.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–1.8
- 50.7%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dobson | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 · PO | MTL 1–6 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-05-27 · PO | MTL 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-25 · PO | MTL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-05-23 · PO | MTL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-05-21 · PO | MTL 6–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2026-03-29 | MTL 3–1 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5–2 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-03-30 | NYI 4–6 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2024-12-17 | NYI 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-07 | NYI 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | NYI 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-04-27 · PO | NYI 3–2 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 31 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Dobson or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Dobson's 2.17. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Dobson or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dobson and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 31 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 11–20. Dobson had 11 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 24 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →