Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Dobson vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.
Noah Dobson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dobson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Hardest shot 93.5, Ascension score 50.
Harley's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.0%, Sequence xG 50.2%, Scoring chances 47.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dobson | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dobson vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dobson 0G 5A, 8 SOG · Harley 0G 3A, 14 SOG
Dobson blocked 4 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 0 of Dobson's.
On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)
15:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–8
- 63.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 55.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dobson | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | MTL 4–3 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-13 | MTL 0–7 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-12 | NYI 0–3 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-26 | NYI 3–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-21 | NYI 3–2 DAL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-05 | NYI 2–3 DAL | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-19 | NYI 4–2 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Dobson or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Dobson or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dobson and Harley done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 4–3. Dobson had 5 points (0 goals) and Harley had 3 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →