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Who to start · 2025-26

Owen Tippett vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73.

Tippett had 51 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Tippett has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Tippett's 2.0.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Tippett's biggest edges: Blocked shots 50, High-danger chances 56.1%, Hardest shot 93.2.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 69.0%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Corsi 60.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Owen Tippett

1.82

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTippettJarvis
Goals (+2)0.690.90
Assists (+1)0.280.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.32
Hits (+0.1)0.200.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tippett vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TippettJarvis
4Team record in 16 meetings12
10Points in those games7

Tippett 5G 5A, 40 SOG · Jarvis 6G 1A, 33 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Tippett's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Tippett's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Tippett's side)

12:29 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tippett's side

Shot attempts
9–22
29.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
29.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Owen Tippett and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreTippettJarvis
2025-12-14PHI 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-13PHI 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-11PHI 3–4 CAR1G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S
2025-03-15PHI 0–5 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-05PHI 4–6 CAR1G 1A 6S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-21PHI 2–3 CAR0G 1A 3S1G 0A 1S
2023-11-28PHI 1–4 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-15PHI 3–1 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-30PHI 2–3 CAR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-18PHI 4–5 CAR0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-09PHI 0–1 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-23PHI 5–6 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TippettJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Owen Tippett

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR2.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Owen Tippett or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73. Tippett had 51 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Owen Tippett or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tippett and Jarvis done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Tippett's team went 4–12. Tippett had 10 points (5 goals) and Jarvis had 7 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tippett or Jarvis?
Against each other, Tippett has won 0 and Jarvis 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →