Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Nugent-Hopkins for 1.1 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Plus/minus +18, Scoring chances 58.5%.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Power-play share 86.6%, Power-play time per game 3:30, Power-play points 29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.39
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 4G 2A, 18 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 4G 4A, 23 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 2–0 · Kelly's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
6:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–11
- 42.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 23.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | COL 2–1 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-10 | COL 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | COL 9–1 EDM | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-07 | COL 5–4 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-30 | COL 1–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5–3 EDM | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-06 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-02-11 | OTT 3–6 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 4–5. Kelly had 6 points (4 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 8 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Nugent-Hopkins?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 2 and Nugent-Hopkins 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →