Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Quinn Hughes
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left; Hughes has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.1 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.2.
Quinn Hughes has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Goals above expected −0.4, Luck Meter −16, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.
Hughes's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.5, 20+ mph bursts 174, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.47.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Quinn Hughes
2.16
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Quinn Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.18 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.94 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.55 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Hughes
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 4G 7A, 34 SOG · Hughes 4G 10A, 41 SOG
Buchnevich blocked 1 of Hughes's shots; Hughes blocked 1 of Buchnevich's.
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
12:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–21
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–1.1
- 28.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Hughes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | STL 3–1 MIN | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-13 | STL 5–2 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-03-20 | STL 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-27 | STL 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-12-10 | STL 4–3 VAN | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-24 | STL 4–3 VAN | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-04 | STL 2–1 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-27 | STL 0–5 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-28 | STL 6–5 VAN | 1G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2023-02-23 | STL 2–3 VAN | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-19 | STL 5–1 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-30 | STL 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.2 ptsSchedule edge −12.8 win%
Quinn Hughes
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS2.1 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Quinn Hughes in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Quinn Hughes?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Quinn Hughes leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Hughes done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 10–5. Buchnevich had 11 points (4 goals) and Hughes had 14 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →