Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project Buchnevich for 1.5 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.
Trevor Zegras has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.9, Ascension score 44, Blocked shots 40.
Zegras's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.69, Luck Meter +27, Goals above expected +2.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.53
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Trevor Zegras has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 5G 4A, 22 SOG · Zegras 2G 6A, 21 SOG
Buchnevich's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Buchnevich's defensive zone 2–1 (2022-23 to 2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
6:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–10
- 37.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.4
- 55.8%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | STL 2–3 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5–6 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7–2 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-07 | STL 4–3 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-07 | STL 6–5 ANA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-03-25 | STL 6–3 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-21 | STL 3–1 ANA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | STL 6–2 ANA | 2G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-24 | STL 6–3 ANA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-12 | STL 2–3 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Zegras done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 7–3. Buchnevich had 9 points (5 goals) and Zegras had 8 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Buchnevich or Zegras?
- Against each other, Buchnevich has won 2 and Zegras 2 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →