Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs William Nylander
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Nylander has 1 left. We project Nylander for 2.1 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
William Nylander has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Expected goals 52.5%, Sequence xG 52.5%, Scoring chances 50.7%.
Nylander's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.5, Transition attempts /60 1.67, Luck Meter +74.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
William Nylander
2.36
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, William Nylander has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Nylander |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 1.05 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Nylander
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 7G 9A, 40 SOG · Nylander 11G 9A, 47 SOG
Buchnevich's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Buchnevich's defensive zone 1–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
6:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–2
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.2
- 56.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Nylander |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | STL 5–1 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-18 | STL 2–3 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-02 | STL 4–2 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-24 | STL 5–1 TOR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-19 | STL 2–4 TOR | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-13 | STL 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | STL 6–5 TOR | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2022-12-27 | STL 4–5 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-19 | STL 6–3 TOR | 2G 0A 7S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2020-02-05 | NYR 5–3 TOR | 1G 2A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-12-28 | NYR 5–4 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2019-12-20 | NYR 3–6 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
William Nylander
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.1 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or William Nylander in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or William Nylander?
- On 2025-26 numbers, William Nylander leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Nylander done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 9–9. Buchnevich had 16 points (7 goals) and Nylander had 20 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Buchnevich or Nylander?
- Against each other, Buchnevich has won 2 and Nylander 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →