Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Wyatt Johnston has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Corsi 49.7%, Hardest shot 88.9, Fenwick 48.8%.
Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, Transition attempts /60 1.34, Luck Meter +27.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 2G 3A, 24 SOG · Johnston 8G 5A, 39 SOG
Buchnevich's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 0–1 · Buchnevich's defensive zone 1–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
22:04 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–15
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.7–0.7
- 69.8%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | STL 4–0 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-02-04 | STL 4–5 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-23 | STL 2–3 DAL | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3–1 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-02 | STL 3–6 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-25 | STL 0–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | STL 1–2 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-17 | STL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-27 | STL 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-16 | STL 4–3 DAL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-12 | STL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Wyatt Johnston leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Johnston done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 4–11. Buchnevich had 5 points (2 goals) and Johnston had 13 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Buchnevich or Johnston?
- Against each other, Buchnevich has won 3 and Johnston 4 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →