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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Buchnevich vs Zach Werenski

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games.

This week Buchnevich has 1 game left; Werenski has 1 left. We project Werenski for 2.3 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.2.

Zach Werenski has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 26, Blocked shots 40.

Werenski's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.1, Transition attempts /60 1.01, 20+ mph bursts 123.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Zach Werenski

2.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Zach Werenski has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBuchnevichWerenski
Goals (+2)0.460.55
Assists (+1)0.320.86
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.34
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.62

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Werenski

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BuchnevichWerenski
5Team record in 19 meetings14
15Points in those games13

Buchnevich 7G 8A, 46 SOG · Werenski 3G 10A, 61 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Buchnevich blocked 0 of Werenski's shots; Werenski blocked 1 of Buchnevich's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)

9:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side

Shot attempts
14–12
53.8%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
57.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Buchnevich and Zach Werenski
DateScoreBuchnevichWerenski
2026-01-31STL 3–5 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 1A 4S
2025-11-01STL 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2025-01-11STL 1–2 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-04STL 4–6 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 2A 7S
2024-01-30STL 0–1 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-08STL 2–5 CBJ0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-10-15STL 5–2 CBJ1G 1A 4S0G 0A 5S
2022-03-19STL 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 4S0G 0A 6S
2021-11-27STL 6–3 CBJ2G 1A 5S0G 1A 5S
2020-02-14NYR 3–1 CBJ1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2020-01-19NYR 1–2 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2019-04-05NYR 2–3 CBJ1G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BuchnevichWerenski

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.2 pts
    Schedule edge −12.8 win%

Zach Werenski

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA2.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Zach Werenski in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Zach Werenski projects to 2.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Zach Werenski?
On 2025-26 numbers, Zach Werenski leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Buchnevich and Werenski done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 5–14. Buchnevich had 15 points (7 goals) and Werenski had 13 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →