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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Zacha vs Ryan O'Reilly

Pavel ZachaPavel ZachaBruins · CentrevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.

Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Zacha has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 1.7 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Zacha's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.0, Hits 64, Goals above expected +8.8.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Blocked shots 66.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Zacha 17–16.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Zacha

1.70

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromZachaO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.680.58
Assists (+1)0.400.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Zacha vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZachaO'Reilly
10Team record in 16 meetings6
9Points in those games12

Zacha 2G 7A, 24 SOG · O'Reilly 4G 8A, 33 SOG

16Faceoffs against each other17

Zacha's offensive zone 7–10 · neutral 5–4 · Zacha's defensive zone 4–3 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Zacha's side)

3:59 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Zacha's side

Shot attempts
4–3
57.1%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
91.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Zacha and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreZachaO'Reilly
2026-01-27BOS 3–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-04BOS 3–6 NSH0G 1A 0S2G 1A 2S
2024-10-22BOS 0–4 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2024-04-02BOS 3–0 NSH1G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-14BOS 3–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-06BOS 2–1 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-07BOS 3–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-06NJD 3–2 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-10NJD 7–4 STL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2020-03-06NJD 4–2 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-18NJD 0–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2019-03-30NJD 2–3 STL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZachaO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Zacha

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to C
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Zacha or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Zacha or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zacha and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Zacha's team went 10–6. Zacha had 9 points (2 goals) and O'Reilly had 12 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Zacha or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Zacha has won 16 and O'Reilly 17 of their 33 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →