Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Zacha vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Zacha projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Zacha has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.
Pavel Zacha has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Zacha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.4, Faceoffs won 524, Plus/minus +4.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05, Offensive-zone time 45.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Zacha
1.70
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Pavel Zacha has the edge.
| Points per game from | Zacha | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.68 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Zacha vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Zacha 3G 2A, 22 SOG · Toffoli 3G 5A, 32 SOG
Zacha's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Zacha's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Zacha's side)
5:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Zacha's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–3
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.1
- 90.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Zacha | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | BOS 2–4 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-23 | BOS 1–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-22 | BOS 1–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-01-15 | BOS 3–0 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-30 | BOS 5–2 NJD | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-28 | BOS 4–3 CGY | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-10 | BOS 3–1 CGY | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-08 | NJD 7–1 MTL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2020-02-08 | NJD 3–0 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-02-05 | NJD 1–5 LAK | 1G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2018-12-06 | NJD 6–3 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2017-12-12 | NJD 5–1 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Zacha
3games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Zacha or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Zacha projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Zacha or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Zacha leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Zacha and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Zacha's team went 8–4. Zacha had 5 points (3 goals) and Toffoli had 8 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Zacha or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Zacha has won 0 and Toffoli 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →