Who to start · 2025-26
Quinn Hughes vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Hughes had 76 points in 74 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Hughes has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Hughes's 1.7.
Quinn Hughes has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hughes's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 174, Top skating speed 22.5, On-ice PDO 1001.
Hertl's biggest edges: Hits 114, High-danger chances 59.2%, Blocked shots 45.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Quinn Hughes
2.16
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Quinn Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hughes | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.94 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hughes vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hughes 8G 16A, 38 SOG · Hertl 6G 10A, 38 SOG
Hughes blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Hughes's.
On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)
4:03 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–7
- 30.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.4
- 19.0%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hughes | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | MIN 4–2 VGK | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-29 | MIN 5–2 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-19 | VAN 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-08 | VAN 4–3 VGK | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | VAN 7–4 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-25 | VAN 3–4 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2023-11-20 | VAN 3–1 SJS | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | VAN 10–1 SJS | 1G 4A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-23 | VAN 7–2 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-27 | VAN 6–2 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-07 | VAN 6–5 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2022-11-27 | VAN 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Quinn Hughes
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.7 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANALikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Quinn Hughes or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Hughes had 76 points in 74 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Quinn Hughes or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Quinn Hughes leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hughes and Hertl done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 16–3. Hughes had 24 points (8 goals) and Hertl had 16 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →