Who to start · 2025-26
Rasmus Dahlin vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Dahlin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +18, Luck Meter +46, On-ice PDO 1020.
Hertl's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Blocked shots 45, Offensive-zone start % 61.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dahlin | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dahlin vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dahlin 1G 11A, 33 SOG · Hertl 4G 4A, 28 SOG
On the ice against each other (Dahlin's side)
6:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dahlin's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–8
- 27.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 39.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dahlin | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | BUF 2–0 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-03 | BUF 3–2 VGK | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-15 | BUF 4–3 VGK | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-04 | BUF 1–3 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-27 | BUF 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-15 | BUF 3–0 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-04 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-01-06 | BUF 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-02 | BUF 3–5 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2019-10-22 | BUF 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-10-19 | BUF 4–3 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Rasmus Dahlin or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Rasmus Dahlin or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dahlin and Hertl done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Dahlin's team went 10–4. Dahlin had 12 points (1 goals) and Hertl had 8 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →