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Who to start · 2025-26

Rasmus Dahlin vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Dahlin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dahlin for 2.5 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dahlin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 76, Plus/minus +18, Faceoffs won 0.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, Blocked shots 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Rasmus Dahlin

2.10

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDahlinToffoli
Goals (+2)0.460.45
Assists (+1)0.670.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.21
Hits (+0.1)0.090.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.480.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dahlin vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DahlinToffoli
12Team record in 16 meetings4
14Points in those games10

Dahlin 4G 10A, 28 SOG · Toffoli 5G 5A, 50 SOG

1Hits on each other4
1Shots blocked by the other0

Dahlin blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Dahlin's.

On the ice against each other (Dahlin's side)

2:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Dahlin's side

Shot attempts
1–2
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
93.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Rasmus Dahlin and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDahlinToffoli
2026-03-19BUF 5–0 SJS1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-10BUF 6–3 SJS0G 3A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-04BUF 2–6 SJS0G 1A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-11-23BUF 4–2 SJS1G 1A 5S0G 1A 6S
2023-11-25BUF 2–7 NJD0G 0A 0S2G 0A 4S
2023-10-27BUF 4–5 NJD1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-02-11BUF 2–7 CGY0G 1A 0S2G 1A 5S
2022-10-20BUF 6–3 CGY1G 1A 3S0G 1A 5S
2022-03-18BUF 1–0 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-13BUF 5–3 MTL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-26BUF 4–1 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-10-14BUF 5–1 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DahlinToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Rasmus Dahlin

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Rasmus Dahlin or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Dahlin had 74 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Rasmus Dahlin or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dahlin and Toffoli done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Dahlin's team went 12–4. Dahlin had 14 points (4 goals) and Toffoli had 10 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →