Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Rickard Rakell vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Rakell had 48 points in 60 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Rakell has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Rakell for 2.0 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Rakell's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1018, Forecheck xG /60 0.35, Luck Meter +16.

Hertl's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Faceoff win % 57.8%, Penalty minutes 39.

Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Rakell 6–4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rickard Rakell has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRakellHertl
Goals (+2)0.750.63
Assists (+1)0.440.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.27
Hits (+0.1)0.130.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.340.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rakell vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RakellHertl
13Team record in 30 meetings17
30Points in those games18

Rakell 14G 16A, 97 SOG · Hertl 7G 11A, 70 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other6

Rakell's offensive zone 3–4 · neutral 0–2 · Rakell's defensive zone 1–0 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other3

Rakell blocked 1 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 3 of Rakell's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Rakell's side)

2:11 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Rakell's side

Shot attempts
4–2
66.7%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
59.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Rickard Rakell and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreRakellHertl
2026-03-12PIT 2–6 VGK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-01PIT 5–0 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-11PIT 3–2 VGK0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-07PIT 0–4 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-04PIT 10–2 SJS0G 2A 6S0G 2A 1S
2023-02-14PIT 3–1 SJS1G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-28PIT 4–6 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-06ANA 3–2 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-22ANA 4–3 SJS2G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2021-04-14ANA 4–1 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-04-12ANA 4–0 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-03-13ANA 1–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 30 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RakellHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Rickard Rakell or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Rakell had 48 points in 60 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Rickard Rakell or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rakell and Hertl done against each other?
In 30 games against each other in our data, Rakell's team went 13–17. Rakell had 30 points (14 goals) and Hertl had 18 (7 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rakell or Hertl?
Against each other, Rakell has won 4 and Hertl 6 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →