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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 1.7 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Top skating speed 22.8, Transition attempts /60 1.26.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +50, On-ice PDO 1023, Plus/minus +8.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Nugent-Hopkins 33–23.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.98

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.560.62
Assists (+1)0.500.60
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.41

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsO'Reilly
13Team record in 23 meetings10
14Points in those games13

Nugent-Hopkins 6G 8A, 56 SOG · O'Reilly 5G 8A, 52 SOG

23Faceoffs against each other33

Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 7–12 · neutral 3–9 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 13–12 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

24:35 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
31–24
56.4%
Expected goals
1.4–1.2
53.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsO'Reilly
2026-03-15EDM 3–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-13EDM 3–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-06EDM 6–2 NSH0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-14EDM 3–2 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-31EDM 5–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-17EDM 4–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-27EDM 4–1 NSH1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-04EDM 2–5 NSH0G 0A 4S3G 1A 3S
2023-10-17EDM 6–1 NSH1G 2A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-01EDM 5–2 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-15EDM 3–4 STL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-26EDM 3–1 STL1G 0A 5S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 13–10. Nugent-Hopkins had 14 points (6 goals) and O'Reilly had 13 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 23 and O'Reilly 33 of their 56 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →